Web山大王
Web山大王
长期关注 Crypto、AI、美股与宏观趋势。 相信 BTC 是数字黄金，也相信市场与万物皆有周期。坚持以价值发现为锚、以周期思维应对波动；OKB Holder，长期主义践行者。 专属社群已开启，点击右上角「群聊」即可加入。群内定期分享市场观点、交易策略与福利活动，期待与你一起交流、洞见周期。
1.9kFollowing
3.9kfollowers
Feed
Livestream
Feed
The recent market drop is driving people crazy😫! Many in the group are starting to wonder if we're heading into another long bear market. Actually, what the market fears most is no news and no expectations.
Fortunately, the APEC summit is coming next week, which might bring some hope to global risk assets, a rare external positive lately.
$BTC is fluctuating around 68,000, with RSI oversold at about 25. Short-term support is seen at 67,500-68,000; holding this level could allow for a rebound. The resistance above is first at 70,000, and only a breakout there can target 73,000-76,000.
$ETH fell below 2,000 and is around 1,930, with support near 1,900. Resistance is first at 2,000, then it could reach 2,200.
The weekend is coming again; hopefully, next week will perform well! This market is really torturing! Wishing everyone a happy weekend!
#美联储鹰派信号密集释放，12月加息节奏分歧显现
24-hour liquidation data. Data comes from CoinGlass, BitcoinWisdom, CoinClass, etc. (the statistical scope varies slightly among different sources, with amounts fluctuating between hundreds of millions to over a billion USD):
• Entire market: total 24h liquidations approximately $450 million–$1.65 billion, long positions account for about 85–90% (longs about $400 million–$1.45 billion, shorts about $40 million–$200 million).
$BTC: total liquidations approximately $250 million–$750 million, longs over 90% (longs about $220 million–$700 million, shorts about $20 million–$50 million). The largest single liquidations often occur on platforms like Hyperliquid.
$ETH: total liquidations approximately $100 million–$280 million, longs account for 70–87% (longs about $70 million–$230 million, shorts about $30 million–$50 million).
Interpretation: Over the past 24 hours, leveraged long holders generally suffered losses (forced liquidations), while shorts relatively profited or had smaller losses. Liquidations do not mean all large holders incurred losses, but they reflect the pain level of highly leveraged large holders.😮💨
Can't sleep in the middle of the night! 😮💨 Bitcoin has already broken below the important support line of $69,000, feels like the whole crypto world is about to collapse again.
US inflation data remains high, the market originally hoped the Fed would cut rates soon, but that expectation is clearly dashed now.
$BTC daily chart has been falling continuously, currently around 68,000. Strong support below is around 67,000–65,000, and further down are earlier lows. RSI has entered the oversold zone, so there might be a short-term rebound, but the overall trend is still weak. Don't rush to go heavy before it stabilizes at key levels.
$ETH is definitely falling along with it, now around 1930–1950. Support below is at 1900 and 1890, resistance above at 1980–2000. Also in oversold territory, no clear sign of a bottom yet.
Just half-asleep I opened a position, damn, that was reckless! Looks like tonight will be completely sleepless……
The market has been going down all the way recently! Continuous drops!
Everyone is worried that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates, and on top of that, institutional funds keep withdrawing from Bitcoin ETFs, causing the price to fall below 70,000. 🤔️ Unbelievable! 😱
$BTC dropped to around 68,000 today, breaking through several key levels consecutively, with long positions liquidated over 1 billion USD, panic is at its peak. Technically, short-term support is around 65,000-67,000; if it can't hold, it may fall further.
$ETH followed down to 1,900. The drop is similar, with support around 1,850 and resistance near 2,000. Both are weakening in sync, but Bitcoin is relatively more resilient.
Don't rush to bottom-fish or short. Manage your position size well, and wait to see if the support holds before making a move.
Small positions can try, but don't go heavy. Haha 😄 my heart can't take it!
Bitcoin has fallen below $70,000 again, and many people in the group are starting to panic.😓 Actually, what really influences short-term price movements is often not the crypto market itself, but various economic data from the U.S.
The U.S. PPI data released today is very likely to be the key factor determining the short-term direction.
$BTC is currently fluctuating around $68,000, with the daily RSI oversold at about 25, indicating the decline has indeed been excessive. Short-term support is seen around $67,000-$66,500; if it breaks below, it may further test $66,000. The $70,000 level remains an important resistance; if it can't be surpassed, the overall trend remains weak.
$ETH fell below $2,000 and is currently near $1,910, with support levels at $1,870 and $1,850. Resistance lies between $1,980 and $2,000. For a rebound, data support is still needed.
The long-term fundamentals remain good. For now, focus on the PPI data and key levels on the chart, conserve your ammunition, and wait for the right opportunity to act.
Lately, many people in the group have been discussing why the crypto market is still in such a bearish state?🤔️
The latest US employment data was surprisingly good, and prices haven't cooled down significantly. The market has already started betting that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates once more by the end of the year. With the US dollar strengthening, risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin are bound to be affected.
$BTC has been fluctuating between $72,000 and $74,000 these past few days, with several attempts to break higher being pushed back. It is currently clinging to a key support level. Short-term moving averages are all pressing down from above; if it falls below $72,000, the next focus will be the $70,000 psychological level.
$ETH has been hovering around $2,000, with multiple failed attempts to hold above that level, showing a decline more pronounced than Bitcoin's. The $2,000 mark has become a battleground between bulls and bears; if it breaks down, the $1,960–$1,975 range will be the next important support zone.
If the macro environment continues to be unfavorable, short-term sentiment will inevitably remain low. For contract trading, focusing on intraday opportunities might be a safer choice.
#美联储12月加息预期升温，紧缩周期或延续至2027年
#美联储12月加息预期升温，紧缩周期或延续至2027年
US October inflation again exceeded expectations! 🙄️ The market is almost certain there will be another rate hike in December, and Goldman Sachs even thinks there will be one more in March next year! The crypto market's year-end trend is hard to predict!
$BTC has fallen steadily from the early November high and is now fluctuating around $73,500-$73,700, down about 3% over 7 days, with a larger drop over 30 days. Support is first expected around $72,700-$72,000; if broken, it may test $70,000!
$ETH is currently priced around $2,040-$2,050, down over 8% in 7 days, a decline noticeably larger than Bitcoin's. Support is first expected at the $2,000 round number. More funds are flowing into Bitcoin, and the ETH/BTC ratio is clearly weak!
$SOL is around $82.8-$83, down 7%-14% over 7 days and over 20% in 30 days. RSI has dropped to 23-24, indicating severe overselling. Support is first expected at $81-$82; if broken, it may test $78-$80. Volatility is quite high.
We just need to focus on trading Bitcoin, which is already challenging enough! It's best to avoid altcoins!
Watching the US stock market rise steadily, while the crypto space is deadlocked and moving sideways! 😮💨
The US stock market rises based on company profits and capital flow, while the crypto market's sideways movement is more about digesting sentiment and leverage. It's really tough to see others rising in the short term!
$BTC is now around 73,500, with key support roughly between 72,000-73,000. Holding that means it can continue sideways waiting for opportunities. Resistance is around 75,000-76,000; only a breakthrough will bring a decent rebound.
$ETH is weakening along with it, now around 2,050, with 2,000 as an important resistance level. If it holds above that, then look towards 2,100-2,200.
In the short term, the direction is indeed very uncertain, so we can only wait and see. Actually, the crypto market has its own cycles and logic; time will prove that crypto is the coolest! Haha 😄
#美联储12月加息预期升温，紧缩周期或延续至2027年
Last night, the US October CPI data completely stunned the market. 😵💫 Prices rose 0.4% month-over-month, significantly higher than the market expectation of 0.3%, and the Federal Reserve obviously won't sit idly by.
The market has almost fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike in December, with probabilities exceeding 85%, making the rate hike almost certain. Stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other risk assets are all going to suffer.
$BTC is currently around $73,800, having sharply dropped yesterday, directly hitting the critical 200-day moving average. The RSI has fallen back to 33, indicating short-term weakness. If it breaks below $72,700, the next target could be $71,700 or even $70,000.
$ETH is performing even weaker, dropping to around $2,060, with the RSI near 30, entering the oversold zone. $2,000 is a key support level; if broken, it may test $1,960.
The year-end market is destined to be volatile. Hopefully, the macro environment can provide some support to save the crypto space! 😮💨
#非农与CPI均超预期，美联储12月加息或提速
The market sentiment has indeed been very cold recently. Yesterday, the US October inflation data was released, with increases exceeding market expectations, further heating up the possibility of a Fed rate hike in December. 😮💨
Tech stocks led the decline, ETF funds also saw outflows, and many friends in the group have become more cautious in their trading.
$BTC is currently fluctuating between 73,000 and 75,000 USD, once dropping below 74,000. The key support level is near 73,000, and if it doesn't hold, it may continue to decline.
$ETH has fallen more noticeably, retreating to around 2,000 USD, with the 2,000 round number becoming an important immediate support. Both ETFs have seen continuous net outflows recently, showing a clear cooling of market enthusiasm.
The market naturally goes up and down; only by maintaining a good mindset can one better seize opportunities in the crypto market.
#美国10月整体与核心CPI双超预期
